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Crashing waves

Connect to a more sustainable future

Understand the impact of physical and transition climate risk on fixed income and equity securities

With extreme weather events on the rise there is increased awareness of climate change. High quality data can help markets and investors to understand the risks and opportunities associated with the energy transition and climate change.

Access more meaningful climate metrics

Insights


Climate Risks - Beyond the Physical

The mention of ‘Climate Risk’ inevitably turns our thoughts to dramatic weather events such as floods, storms, hurricanes as well as drought and forest fires (“Physical Climate Risk”). These often-devastating Physical Climate Risk events grab the media’s attention and are widely reported. However, there is another kind of Climate Risk which is much less discussed and not as widely covered in the mainstream media, despite the potential for it to impact every part of daily life: Climate Transition Risk.

The U.S. municipal bond market does not price in physical climate risk … Yet

As concern about climate risk disclosure grows, an analysis of ~800,000 U.S. municipal bonds representing over $2.5T in outstanding debt shows no evidence it is being systematically priced in.

Climate risk and U.S. fixed income fundamentals

We used our data to look at how property values, population growth and mortgage delinquency correlated with higher climate risks.

Wildfires, housing affordability and climate change: virtuous cycle or dangerous dynamic?

Catastrophic wildfires are expected to be ~15% more likely across the U.S. by 2060, assuming a business-as-usual carbon emissions trajectory in the coming decades, which would increase annual average economic damage from wildfires by ~8%.

Climate Risks - Beyond the Physical

The mention of ‘Climate Risk’ inevitably turns our thoughts to dramatic weather events such as floods, storms, hurricanes as well as drought and forest fires (“Physical Climate Risk”). These often-devastating Physical Climate Risk events grab the media’s attention and are widely reported. However, there is another kind of Climate Risk which is much less discussed and not as widely covered in the mainstream media, despite the potential for it to impact every part of daily life: Climate Transition Risk.

The U.S. municipal bond market does not price in physical climate risk … Yet

As concern about climate risk disclosure grows, an analysis of ~800,000 U.S. municipal bonds representing over $2.5T in outstanding debt shows no evidence it is being systematically priced in.

Climate risk and U.S. fixed income fundamentals

We used our data to look at how property values, population growth and mortgage delinquency correlated with higher climate risks.

Wildfires, housing affordability and climate change: virtuous cycle or dangerous dynamic?

Catastrophic wildfires are expected to be ~15% more likely across the U.S. by 2060, assuming a business-as-usual carbon emissions trajectory in the coming decades, which would increase annual average economic damage from wildfires by ~8%.

ICE Sustainable Finance Monthly