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Home/ICE Insights/ICE Insights ICE AAA Muni Curve

ICE Municipal AAA Yield Curve: a modern pricing & hedging tool for sell-side firms

By: Patrick Smith | Senior Director, Head of Municipal Evaluations, ICE

May 14, 2026

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Key takeaways

  • The ICE Municipal AAA Yield Curve is a transaction-driven, rules-based curve that updates dynamically throughout the trading day.
  • Approximately 856,000 tax-exempt bonds are directly or indirectly priced off the curve, with evaluated prices updating every 15 minutes.
  • Sell-side firms can use the curve to support new-issue pricing discussions, secondary market activity, rate lock trading, tender buybacks, and internal valuation workflows.

While the buy-side has grown familiar with the ICE Municipal AAA Yield Curve over its years in production, many sell-side firms — underwriters, dealers, and trading desks — have yet to fully explore what a transaction-driven, continuously updating municipal curve can offer their businesses.

The ICE Municipal AAA Yield Curve is a quantitative, rules-based curve overseen by a dedicated evaluator who monitors and maintains it throughout each trading day. It is transaction-driven: yields update in response to executed trades in the secondary municipal securities market, with new-issue activity also taken into consideration. That transaction data is reflected as changes in the tenor points along the curve.

Roughly 856,000 tax-exempt bonds are attached to the curve, pricing off it either directly or indirectly. If the curve moves five basis points, the universe of bonds priced along the curve moves five basis points as well, absent other forces influencing price. Evaluated prices for those bonds refresh every 15 minutes, giving market participants a continuous view of where the market is trading.

Benefits of a dynamic, transaction-based curve

  • Continuous price discovery: because the curve reflects real transactions throughout the day it can be monitored in real time rather than through periodic updates — particularly valuable in volatile markets.
  • Intraday responsiveness: live updating enables traders to react to shifting market conditions as they occur, rather than relying on stale snapshots. This level of intraday visibility is a meaningful distinction for the ICE Municipal AAA Yield Curve.
  • Aligned with market evolution: as the municipal bond market becomes more data-driven and electronic, a real-time curve is a natural progression.

ICE AAA Muni Curve - 10 year Bond

Figure 1. ICE Municipal AAA Yield Curve pricing for the 10-year bond tenor on April 11, 2025.

Source: ICE Data Indices

Figure 1 shows how the curve behaved for 10-year bonds on April 11, 2025 — the most volatile day in municipal securities markets since the height of COVID-era volatility in March 2020. As yields oscillated through the session, the curve provided live updates that allowed market participants to react more nimbly to rapidly developing events surrounding newly imposed U.S. trade tariffs.

Tighter alignment between curve and bond prices: because the curve is calibrated against observable market activity, the prices of bonds tied to it reflect those same dynamics. End-of-day NAV strikes, mark verification, and customer-facing runs all benefit from a curve anchored in transaction data.

A more rigorous tool for new-issue pricing: underwriting desks can use a curve that is calibrated against observable activity throughout the trading day to support pricing discussions with issuers and investors alike.

Accessibility for the sell-side

The ICE Municipal AAA Yield Curve is already broadly available. End-of-day curve data is made freely available to market participants through the Municipal Securities Rulemaking Board's Electronic Municipal Market Access (MSRB EMMA) platform, and ICE clients can access it through the Bond Curve Viewer service. Sell-side firms looking to evaluate the curve against their own internal marks, trader runs, or historical pricing can begin doing so without significant infrastructure investment.

While the curve has been in production since 2019, it has been calculated for more than a decade, providing sufficient history for back-testing, model calibration, and integration into existing pricing workflows.

Looking ahead

Municipal bonds will continue to be an important asset class for fixed income investors seeking tax-advantaged strategies or tax-exempt holdings. A more transparent, dynamic, and transaction-driven curve can help make the market more robust, resilient, and efficient for all participants. In particular, the sell-side may benefit meaningfully from engaging with the ICE Municipal AAA Yield Curve as part of its new-issue pricing, trading, and hedging infrastructure.

For sell-side firms not yet using the curve, the starting point is simple: access it on MSRB EMMA or through the ICE Bond Curve Viewer and compare it against the marks your desks are producing today. Alternatively, firms may subscribe to the curve via streaming feed, request/response API, or file delivery.

Limitations

This material contains information that is property of Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. and/or its affiliates (the “ICE Group”), and is not to be published, reproduced, copied, disclosed or used without the express written consent of ICE Group.

This material is provided for informational purposes only. The information contained herein is subject to change and does not constitute any form of warranty, representation, or undertaking. Nothing herein should in any way be deemed to alter the legal rights and obligations contained in agreements between ICE Group and their respective clients relating to any of the products or services described herein. Nothing contained herein constitutes a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Nothing herein is intended to constitute legal, tax, accounting, or other professional advice.

ICE Group makes no warranties whatsoever, either express or implied, as to merchantability, fitness for a particular purpose, or any other matter. Without limiting the foregoing, ICE Group makes no representation or warranty that any data or information (including but not limited to evaluations and analytics) supplied to or by it are complete or free from errors, omissions, or defects and nothing contained herein should constitute any form of warranty, representation, or undertaking.

Evaluations and analytics available from ICE Data Pricing & Reference Data are a point in time output and as such dependent on and take into account the information available to ICE Data Pricing & Reference Data at the time of calculation. ICE Data Pricing & Reference Data does not have access to all relevant trade-related data or trading counterparties quotes, and the utility of the output may diminish depending upon amount of available data underlying the analysis. The inputs utilized in each of the evaluations and analytics services described herein depend on the methodologies employed by each such service and may not be the same as the inputs used in the other services. There are many methodologies (including computer-based analytical modelling) available to calculate and determine information such as the evaluations and analytics described herein. ICE Data Pricing & Reference Data's evaluations and analytics may not generate results that correlate to actual outcomes, and/or actual behavior of the market, such as with regard to the purchase and sale of instruments. There may be errors or defects in ICE Data Pricing & Reference Data's software, databases, or methodologies that may cause resultant data to be inappropriate for use for certain purposes or use cases, and/or within certain applications. Certain historical data may be subject to periodic updates over time due to recalibration processes, including, without limitation enhancement of ICE Data Pricing & Reference Data's models and increased coverage of instruments. Although ICE Data Pricing & Reference Data may elect to update the data it uses from time to time, it has no obligation to do so.

Fixed income evaluations, continuous evaluated pricing, end-of-day evaluations, evaluated curves, model-based curves, Size-Adjusted Pricing, and Fair Value Information Services related to securities are provided in the US through ICE Data Pricing & Reference Data, LLC and internationally through ICE Data Services entities in Europe and Asia Pacific. ICE Data Pricing & Reference Data, LLC is a registered investment adviser with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Additional information about ICE Data Pricing & Reference Data, LLC is available on the SEC’s website at www.adviserinfo.sec.gov. A copy of ICE Data Pricing & Reference Data, LLC’s Form ADV is available upon request.

ICE Data Services refers to a group of products and services offered by certain Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (NYSE:ICE) companies and is the marketing name used for ICE Data Services, Inc. and its subsidiaries globally, including ICE Data Indices, LLC, ICE Data Pricing & Reference Data, LLC, ICE Data Services Europe Limited and ICE Data Services Australia Pty Ltd. ICE Data Services is also the marketing name used for ICE Data Derivatives, Inc., ICE Data Analytics, LLC, and certain other data products and services offered by other affiliates of Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (NYSE:ICE).

Trademarks of ICE Group include: Intercontinental Exchange, ICE, ICE block design, NYSE, ICE Data Services, ICE Data and New York Stock Exchange. Information regarding additional trademarks and intellectual property rights of ICE Group is located at www.ice.com/terms-of-use. Other products, services, or company names mentioned herein are the property of, and may be the service mark or trademark of, their respective owners.

© 2026 Intercontinental Exchange, Inc.

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